Sell the news. Stocks reversed earlier losses this morning and traded higher this morning after the Senate approved the roughly $2 trillion fiscal stimulus package and markets digested the unprecedented surge in weekly jobless claims. Wednesday’s gains marked the first two-day win streak for the S&P 500 Index in more than a month, after tying its longest streak without back-to-back up days since WWII. Stocks held up relatively well immediately after the historic weekly jobless claims report was released today at 8:30 a.m. ET, further evidence that a recession had already been priced into markets.
New jobless claims rise almost unimaginably. We knew the disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic would be massive, but what it has meant to everyday workers finally came through in the numbers. Roughly 3.3 million people filed new claims for unemployment benefits in the week ending March 21, almost five times the previous high of 695,000 set in 1982. The number, while well beyond economists’ consensus forecast, is not a complete surprise, and markets have already been slowly pricing it in. Jobs are likely to return quickly once the economy gets going again, but we know the timing of that is uncertain. Until then, backstops from federal programs and support for businesses to help minimize further layoffs will be essential for millions of Americans. We discuss this more in today’s blog post.
Fiscal stimulus gets through the Senate. The roughly $2 trillion fiscal stimulus package has been approved by the Senate, and now the bill goes to the House, where it is expected to pass on Friday and be signed by President Trump shortly thereafter. Coming as the ranks of the jobless surge, the package will help cushion the economic and financial blow from the COVID-19 pandemic. This news allowed us to check off the policy response signal (#5) in our Road to Recovery Playbook. Importantly, this isn’t the end of the support, as another more targeted package will likely be necessary, and the Federal Reserve may have more in its arsenal, as Chair Jerome Powell noted this morning in a televised interview.
Recently, you may have seen reports that a record-low number of homes are available for sale—roughly 1.03 million nationwide. If you compare that to the average number of homes for sale during the past 10 years, it’s no surprise that many hopeful homebuyers are having issues securing a home. But why exactly is the housing … Continue reading “Forces Driving the Housing Market”
It can be exhausting trying to keep up with the whims of Wall Street. Lately, the financial markets have been fixated on federal taxes and what may be proposed on Capitol Hill in the weeks and months ahead. Wall Street’s focus on taxes closely follows its attention on the 10-year Treasury yield. And it wasn’t … Continue reading “The Whims of Wall Street”
President Joe Biden introduced the much-anticipated American Jobs Plan, which outlines an approach to spend roughly $2.2 trillion on the nation’s infrastructure and other projects. As part of the legislative process, the Biden administration also laid out a proposal for paying for the domestic investment. The plan includes raising the corporate tax rate to 28% … Continue reading “Paying for the Infrastructure Bill”
Financially, many of us associate the spring with taxes – but we should also associate December with important IRA deadlines. This year, like 2020, will see a few changes and distinctions. December 31, 2021, is the deadline to take your Required Minimum Distribution (RMD) from certain individual retirement accounts.
There’s an old Wall Street maxim that says, “markets climb a wall of worry.” And these days, there’s plenty to worry about with the trend in long-term interest rates and bonds.
Epic Capital provides the following comprehensive financial planning and investment management services: Learn More >